Wednesday, January 03, 2024

My 24 Predictions for 2024. Part 2 of 2.

 Contd.....2/2


United States of America (USA). 

16)What are your predictions for the US Presidential election in 2024, and what potential consequences could it have for the country and the world?

(I anticipate Donald Trump becoming the Republican Nominee, despite significant efforts aiming to remove him from the ballot. Nevertheless, I'm confident the US Supreme Court will dismiss these attempts. My prediction is that Trump will secure the Electoral College votes, possibly around 304-234, while Biden might win the popular vote, akin to what occurred in 2016 when Hillary garnered more votes than Trump. With Trump's experience as President, he'll likely take actions to fortify his position, particularly concerning migration, fossil fuels, and the EPA. Additionally, I foresee a degree of reconciliation between both sides post-Trump's anticipated departure after 2029. During his tenure, America is expected to solidify its position as a prominent global player rightfully. Trump's unpredictability, an unusual trait for an American President, made him someone to be feared. I also anticipate a response from White Americans, especially the working class, possibly seeking retribution for what they view as the consequences of electing a black president, globalization, job outsourcing, and placing blind trust in the system/politicians, unlike Trump.) 


The US Presidential election in 2024 is expected to be a highly competitive and contentious race, with former President Donald Trump and incumbent President Joe Biden as the likely nominees of their respective parties12. According to some polls and forecasts, Trump has a slight edge over Biden in the electoral college, while Biden has a narrow lead in the popular vote. The outcome of the election could have significant implications for the country and the world, as the two candidates have divergent views on issues such as the economy, health care, immigration, foreign policy, climate change, and democracy.

17)Will the political polarization in the US continue to deepen in 2024, or are there signs of potential reconciliation and compromise? 

(As Indicated above, the Woke, ESG, DEI,Climate change etc would be thrown out of window. Trump would also pull out of NATO, Ukraine aid would stop as is increased funding to Israel. While this would lead to more polarisation and hate Trump campaign across USA with Communisit News Network, New Hell Times (NYT), all screaming blood. Trump would be better prepared this time with his team. Overtime, the Left lunatics would fizzle out. Trump being an egoist he is, would start reconciliation knowing his two term dream is done. I expect Mike Pampeo as VP aiding the process.) 

The political polarization in the US is likely to persist in 2024, as both parties and their supporters remain deeply divided over core values, policies, and facts. However, there may also be some signs of potential reconciliation and compromise, as some moderate and pragmatic voices emerge within and across the political spectrum, seeking to bridge the gap and address the common challenges facing the nation9.

18)What economic challenges and opportunities does the US face in the coming year?

(2024 would continue to be a challenging year for USA. Inflation, interest rates, spending crunch would impede economic growth. Trump Tax cuts expire in 2025, so congress had to work a plan but can't eliminate all of his plan thus putting pressure. Debt deficit would baloon too. 2026 could be year that American Economy could turn around, with Drilling, fossil fuel, America becoming net exporter of oil, supply chain crunch easing. Interest rates cuts could happen mid 2025 showing efforts later. America at last may join the Internet revolution across the USA which it missed out over few years beging a laggard and with a Not Invented here Mindset!). 

The US economy faces a number of challenges and opportunities in 2024, as it recovers from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and adjusts to the changing global landscape. Some of the challenges include rising inflation, labor shortages, supply chain disruptions, fiscal deficits, and trade tensions1112. Some of the opportunities include technological innovations, renewable energy, biotechnology, education, and sustainability1314.

19)How will the US approach its relationship with China and other major players in the international arena in 2024?

(I see no adverse impact on US China relations. There will be a proxy-Cold war scenario but no serious act. China economic downfall, Demographic crisis as well as not a reliable ally feeling in III world (India, Philipines, Africa etc.) would make it not to wag its tail too much. Xi would have internal issues that would keep him focused. Taiwan may elect a Pro China leadership in election. So you can expect no earth shaking events on USA-China front in 2024-25 perhaps 26 too. (If Trump is in, then China would roll it's tail back between its legs knowing Trump's gutsy stand.. Remember He sent strikes order in Syria and came to inform Xi over Cheese cake dessert in Maro Lago!!!).... 

The US relationship with China and other major players in the international arena is likely to be complex and dynamic in 2024, as the two superpowers compete and cooperate on various issues of mutual interest and concern. The US and China may seek to stabilize and manage their strategic rivalry, while also exploring areas of dialogue and collaboration, such as climate change, pandemic prevention, and nuclear non-proliferation1516. The US may also seek to strengthen its alliances and partnerships with other countries and regions, such as Europe, Japan, India, and Southeast Asia, to balance China’s growing influence and assert its leadership role in the world1718.

20) What social and cultural shifts do you expect to see unfolding in the US over the next year?

(As indicated, WOKE, DEI, ESG, Climate Change, Global warming crap all will be thrown out of window based out in 2025. America would duly restore Meritocracy in times to come. 2024 elections could plant the seed for that change. I also expect US Supreme court in 2024 would come out with game changing judgements on Government interference/ ruling by executive orders which would set course corrections. American Judo-Christian values would be firmly established and 2024 elections will give Americans a path for soul searching.) 

The US society and culture may witness some shifts and transformations in 2024, as the millennial generation, the most diverse and educated adult generation in the country’s history, becomes the largest voting bloc and assumes more prominent roles in various sectors and fields1920. The US may also experience some changes in its demographics, values, lifestyles, and preferences, as it adapts to the post-pandemic reality and embraces the opportunities and challenges of the digital age.

SPORTS:-

21) Which sporting events do you think will capture the world's attention in 2024, and why?


(Paris Olympics- I expect Damp Squib. I dont expect breaking records etc, won't set world on fire as was case in Tokyo one. Olympics is losing its relevance. Euro Football is an event to look out. I expect England to break the jinx of not winning a title. T20 Cricket in America/ West Indies. I expect West Indies to establish their mark back again. They would be in Semi final, I dont predict winners. Also America Cup famous Yathching event. I expect New Zealand to retain title. ( I recollect Australia having organised a cricket tournament in 1987 for having Won the America Cup first time!). 

22) Will there be any new breakout stars or iconic moments in the world of sports in the coming year?

Serena Williams making a come back bang. (Winning a grand Slam!). Coco Gauff to establish herself as a leading woman's player. I see no challenge to Novo Jokovic in Men's Tennis in a consistent performance of winning 2 out of 4 Grandslams in a year. Look for the name of Grayson Waller (Australia) on Golf circuit. Formula one would go as usual with no major surprises in 2024. 


23) How will technological advancements impact the way we watch and experience sports in 2024?

Immersive reality, such as virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR), which will allow fans to watch sports from different perspectives, such as the athlete’s point of view, the referee’s point of view, or the coach’s point of view. Advanced streaming, such as 5G, cloud computing, and artificial intelligence (AI), which will improve the quality and accessibility of sports broadcasts, such as reducing latency, enhancing resolution, and personalizing content. Smart stadiums, such as the Internet of Things (IoT), biometrics, and blockchain, which will enhance the safety and convenience of sports venues, such as enabling contactless entry, cashless payments, and digital tickets. Smart stadiums will also improve the fan experience, such as providing real-time information, personalized offers, and crowd sentiment analysis.

24) What will happen in cricket in 2024? 

England in India Test Cricket, I expect India to sweep even 5-0. ( I am not an Indian cricket fan, but England Bunny on turning tracks here!). Would Ashes happen? (There are Rumors!!??)... I expect Test Cricket popular only in England, Australia. Rest it would be mediocre at most and I expect Test cricket losing its sheen in decades to come. (Already you might have read, South Africa sending 2nd string team to New Zealand to focus on T 20 cricket). 

T20 World Cup. Some actions for young generations. 55 matches is a festival for young ones, I see folks traveling to USA/ West Indies. 

Under 19 World cup in Jan-Feb, I expect names to remember like Virat Kohli, Brain Lara to emerge in 5 years time. I expect, India to do well as the foundation is very good at junior level. (Things get corrupted from there on!). 

I am surprised to read Uganda has qualified for T 20 World Cup. Hope the Africans pull some shock. Let's see.! 

They say Shubman Gill and Rashid Khan are the next sensations. I will add Harry Brook to it. 


Let me know your comments?
Karthik.

2/1/24. 

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